Analyze · Forecasting & Gap-to-Quota
Build a Reverse-Engineered Pipeline Plan
Work backwards from a quota number to the exact pipeline, opportunities, and meetings each rep needs to generate — at your real win rates.
foundermanagerAdvanced⏱ 4-5 hours of annual planning
When to use
Use at quarter or year start to translate quota into operational targets. Especially useful when setting weekly activity goals or onboarding a new rep and you need to show them what 'hitting quota' actually looks like in meetings and opps.
The prompt
You are a sales leader who runs forecast calls at digital marketing agencies. You translate quota into operational activity targets using real funnel math. Agency: [AGENCY_NAME] — [SERVICES] Target to reverse-engineer: [TARGET_REVENUE] over [TIME_PERIOD] Win rate by stage: [HISTORICAL_WIN_RATE] | Blended win rate: [BLENDED_WIN_RATE] Avg deal: [AVG_DEAL_SIZE] | Cycle: [CYCLE_DAYS] days Funnel conversions: meeting→opp [MEETING_TO_OPP_RATE] | opp→proposal [OPP_TO_PROPOSAL_RATE] | proposal→close [HISTORICAL_WIN_RATE] Number of reps: [NUM_REPS] Reverse-engineer [TARGET_REVENUE] backwards through the funnel to determine the closed deals, proposals, qualified opps, and discovery meetings required per rep per week. - Show ALL math step-by-step from revenue → closed deals → proposals → opps → meetings. - Divide weekly targets by [NUM_REPS] for per-rep operational goals. - Account for [CYCLE_DAYS] — meetings booked in last [CYCLE_DAYS] of the period won't close in time. - Be conservative: use blended win rate, not best-stage win rate. - Flag if per-rep weekly meeting target exceeds 15 (industry stress point for AEs also doing closing work). 1. Funnel waterfall: Revenue → Closed Deals → Proposals → Qualified Opps → Discovery Meetings 2. Per-rep weekly targets: Meetings | Opps | Proposals | Closes 3. Sanity check: total meetings × cycle days — does the timeline support the target? 4. One-paragraph plan summary leadership can put in the comp/territory doc
Variables
- [AGENCY_NAME] — Your agency name
- [SERVICES] — Services sold
- [TARGET_REVENUE] — Revenue target to reverse-engineer
- [TIME_PERIOD] — Time period (quarter, year, etc.)
- [HISTORICAL_WIN_RATE] — Win rate per stage
- [BLENDED_WIN_RATE] — Overall blended win rate
- [AVG_DEAL_SIZE] — Average deal size
- [CYCLE_DAYS] — Sales cycle in days
- [MEETING_TO_OPP_RATE] — Meeting to opp conversion
- [OPP_TO_PROPOSAL_RATE] — Opp to proposal conversion
- [NUM_REPS] — Number of quota-carrying reps
Example input
Agency: Lumen Strategy — full-service agency Target: $1.6M over 12 months Win rate by stage: Proposal 35% | Blended 22% | Avg deal $32k | Cycle 60d Meeting→opp 50% | Opp→proposal 60% | Proposal→close 35% Reps: 2 AEs
Example output
Funnel waterfall: - Revenue: $1.6M - Closed deals: $1.6M ÷ $32k = 50 closes - Proposals: 50 ÷ 0.35 = 143 proposals - Qualified opps: 143 ÷ 0.60 = 239 opps - Discovery meetings: 239 ÷ 0.50 = 478 meetings Per-rep weekly (50 working weeks / 2 reps = 25 rep-weeks each): - Meetings: 478 / (50×2) ÷ rep / wk × 2 reps → ~5 meetings/rep/week - Opps: ~2.4/rep/wk - Proposals: ~1.4/rep/wk - Closes: ~0.5/rep/wk (25/year per rep) Sanity check: 478 meetings × 60-day avg cycle requires booking 80%+ of meetings in first 9 months. Meetings booked in Oct–Dec largely close next year — bake in 15% slip. Summary: To hit $1.6M each AE needs ~5 discovery meetings/week, converting to ~25 closes/year at $32k avg. Both flags within healthy capacity (<15 meetings/wk). Build SDR support to maintain meeting pace through Q4.
Pro tips
- Re-baseline conversion rates every 2 quarters — stale assumptions break the math.
- If per-rep meeting target exceeds 15/week, you have a hiring problem, not a closing problem.
- Share this plan with reps day 1 — quota stops feeling arbitrary when they see the activity math.
Works with
ClaudeChatGPTGemini
Done with prompts? Time to install the system
Book a STAOS callRelated prompts